Cruise industry won't recover until 2030

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Well Jason Ader is considered a recreational travel industry expert. And let's be honest, spreadsheets are where profits and losses are measured.
Not recreational travel - his prior experience is in gaming and gaming-related hospitality such as casinos in Vegas. He now runs a turnaround fund out of NYC. Without actual experience in the cruising industry, it makes you good at copying spreadsheet numbers into the next column and dragging the cells across to 2030. This is what I suspect has happened here.
 
I think it will be sooner. It's going to be a while but i do not think it will take till 2030. A good number of cruise passengers are returning cruise passengers. And they will return. I know I will.
The cruise lines have shed a lot of expenses over the last several months and have relied on money coming in for future cruises people book. I think this will continue. They have my money for three cruises right now.

This of course is till the next virus hits. This may not be that far away.
They are already saying the current virus may have mutated.
Again, the comment was "peak profitability". The cruise lines are using your money for the future cruises to stay afloat at this moment. So they will need to pay off loans and other expenses that they are occurring during this pandemic; that's going to cut future profits for a while. Clearing cruise lines have been hemorrhaging money for nine months now, and will likely continue to for the next year or two. Then, they'll slowly start to turn the corner and get back to profitability. But they'll still have to repay the money they borrowed to stay afloat in 2020 and 2021. Peak profits appears to be ten years away, once all of the loans from 2020 are repaid.
 
I have been deleting all the cruise offers in my email. Going through the deleted folder, all the offers are for 2022 cruises. I get it. They aren't going to waste time on marketing 2021 cruises until they know when they will resume. But it does give a little insight into when they hope cruises will resume, and that doesn't seem like anytime soon.
 
If one person says it I suppose it's true then.
That was my reaction when someone in person told me. I'm was like oh you read it online. Guess it must be true. Cause this person will believe everything she hears. And then will tell me about it. Like I have to take everything she says she heard about with a grain of salt.

Should be noted that when she was talking about this article she said "Cruises won't start back up until 2030"
 
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I have been deleting all the cruise offers in my email. Going through the deleted folder, all the offers are for 2022 cruises. I get it. They aren't going to waste time on marketing 2021 cruises until they know when they will resume. But it does give a little insight into when they hope cruises will resume, and that doesn't seem like anytime soon.
It's wild to me that they are hopeful for 2022. I'm not. Not until at least 2024. If things get worse, then I'd say 2030.
 
I don't think we can gauge the future of the cruise industry by anything San Francisco does. :rolleyes1

Dang. I know our repo cruise isn't until May (our window opens in 6 days!) but this is yet another check mark in the "ain't goin' " column. And that column is a whole lot busier now than the "we're going!" one.
 
I don't think we can gauge the future of the cruise industry by anything San Francisco does. :rolleyes1
You're probably right. But, if citizens are willing to have their personal liberties suspended indefinitely, then pretty much everything is now at the whim of mayors and governors.
 
pretty much everything is now at the whim of mayors and governors.
Well, yeah. That's why I'm glad I live in Texas, and also why I've only vacationed in Florida since the pandemic started. Next year we'll be vacationing in multiple Southern states that are not under lockdown. I'm glad we took our San Francisco trip in 2018, and that we've already been to Disneyland California!
 
Well, yeah. That's why I'm glad I live in Texas, and also why I've only vacationed in Florida since the pandemic started. Next year we'll be vacationing in multiple Southern states that are not under lockdown. I'm glad we took our San Francisco trip in 2018, and that we've already been to Disneyland California!
Yeah. I live in North Carolina, about 4 miles from the South Carolina border. The difference between our two states is like East Berlin/West Berlin prior to the removal of the Berlin wall. We spend almost all leisure time and money in South Carolina. It is a shame that our North Carolina businesses suffer, as many others choose to do the same, but maybe it will provide an incentive for North Carolinians to push back against more restrictive mandates.
 
Yeah. I live in North Carolina, about 4 miles from the South Carolina border. The difference between our two states is like East Berlin/West Berlin prior to the removal of the Berlin wall. We spend almost all leisure time and money in South Carolina. It is a shame that our North Carolina businesses suffer, as many others choose to do the same, but maybe it will provide an incentive for North Carolinians to push back against more restrictive mandates.
Is North Carolina really that bad for travelers? I'm actually planning to go to North Carolina as one of our states to visit, because they don't have any quarantine requirements for travelers, and the places we'd want to go (the Biltmore and the Kitty Hawk memorial) are open. Am I missing something?
 
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Yeah. I live in North Carolina, about 4 miles from the South Carolina border. The difference between our two states is like East Berlin/West Berlin prior to the removal of the Berlin wall. We spend almost all leisure time and money in South Carolina. It is a shame that our North Carolina businesses suffer, as many others choose to do the same, but maybe it will provide an incentive for North Carolinians to push back against more restrictive mandates.
I think based on the numbers South Carolina residents should DEMAND more restrictive mandates. Look at the spike! Unacceptable.
https://www.google.com/search?q=sou...7j0i433j0l6.7008j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8https://www.live5news.com/2020/12/31/south-carolina-reports-new-covid-cases/
 
Is North Carolina really that bad for travelers? I'm actually planning to go to North Carolina as one of our states to visit, because they don't have any quarantine requirements for travelers, and the places we'd want to go (the Biltmore, Thomas Wolfe house, Kitty Hawk memorial) are open. Am I missing something?
I don't know whether or not its bad for travelers, since I haven't travelled in NC since the start of the mandates. NC is relatively way more restrictive than the border towns of SC. Most SC cities have their own mandates.

There are tons of places to go in NC. You have mentioned some of the best.
 
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I think based on the numbers South Carolina residents should DEMAND more restrictive mandates. Look at the spike! Unacceptable.
https://www.google.com/search?q=sou...7j0i433j0l6.7008j0j7&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8https://www.live5news.com/2020/12/31/south-carolina-reports-new-covid-cases/
North Carolina is no better. We are also recording record numbers of cases and deaths.

And, having grown up in SC and attending college there, it is my opinion that their citizens are among the least likely in the nation to demand more restrictions.
 
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Is North Carolina really that bad for travelers? I'm actually planning to go to North Carolina as one of our states to visit, because they don't have any quarantine requirements for travelers, and the places we'd want to go (the Biltmore, Thomas Wolfe house, Kitty Hawk memorial) are open. Am I missing something?
Well, the Kitty Hawk memorial is on the other side of the state from the other two.

Here's the link to NC's restrictions.
https://www.nc.gov/covid-19/staying-ahead-curve
 
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