This is frustrating. I knew I'd be fighting crowds in the summer, but I didn't have any idea about AP blockout dates.
Well, best case is what happened to some others who caught this early enough to change travel dates. It is still four months out now for June visitors.
Second best case, I guess, is that someone like you finds out about it now and hence is fully informed and not caught by surprise when you show up.
With that in mind, even with AP crowds you will have a great time if you do a little planning.
I'm arriving late afternoon of 6/21 and staying through late in the morning of 6/25. From what I've gathered from this thread, I should count on Monday (21st) and Tuesday (22nd) to be crazy-busy. I was planning on 3 days - Tues (22nd), Wed (23rd) and Thurs (24th). Should I skip the 22nd now, and just go for the morning of the 25th? I haven't a clue about early morning park openings. The 25th is a Friday. Will that be a day that a park is open early?
But, if all the APs will be clamoring to get into DCA, the nighttime crowds at Disneyland on the 21st and 22nd might not be too bad? Maybe?
I totally agree with DLR29 in the PP. Go on June 21 and 22 and work the situation. Since June 23-24 will be AP blocked out for SoCal AP holders, those days will be less crowded.
If I was in your boat here are some things that I would be keeping in mind:
1. The WOC show will be something you will want to see. On all four nights 21-25 it will be crazy crowded for this show AP holders or not - and there will probably be two shows a night - but Disney has not said anything official yet.
2. As DLR29 said there is lots of rumor - nothing announced yet - of a WOC Showpass. You will want to get one of these. If the rumors prove true then you will be out of luck on June 21 for Showpass. But you will have three other nights. Get a Showpass.
3. Since June 24 is a grad night DLR will close early and that may affect WOC. Perhaps no show at all or only once show. Traditionally DCA has closed at 6PM on grad nights and since WOC is a night time show and probably has to show after 8:30PM on a mid-summer night like June that could affect whether they even show it.
4. If you are into fireworks see them at DL on June 21. It will be busy - get there early. Not sure how early. You will need to pay attention to these boards before your trip. My guess at this point is 30 minutes early. Maybe 45. Why see fireworks on the first night? See this thread -"HydroGuy's Fireworks Rule"
www.disboards.com/showthread.php?t=1199851. If they get cancelled on the first night you will have two more chances - maybe three.
5. Since it will be more crowded on June 21 and June 22 those will be better days to see shows and do any special dining. Still do rides and get your FPs on 21-22, but with shows you are in the same boat as all the other crowds. With rides you aren't. If there are longer lines for rides on June 21-22 - and there will be - then use that time more for non-ride things.
6. Do your Magic Morning on June 22. If you stay at a DLR hotel you can also do June 24. Do that one too. Consult DLR29's excellent link he gave on that.
7. There will probably be 2 Fantasmic shows on June 21, 22 and 23, and only one (or maybe none_ on June 24 because of the grad night. When there are two shows they are at 9 and 10:30. If you can do the late show then do it. Since the 9PM show comes before then there are no folks saving spots for 2-3 hours before. If you cannot do the late show because of young kids or otherwsie, then the best early show will be on June 23 or 24 because of the lack of AP holders and lower crowds. You will also have the option for a dessert reservation for either show if you need to have a more comfortable seat and can afford the reservation.
8. If it was me I would do both fireworks and Fantasmic (10:30 show) on the first night June 21, and, if possible, WOC on June 22. Then you will have a free night to do rides on June 23. June 24 will be free also but short.
9. As far as grad night on June 24 here is some info: "The Scoop on Grad Nights at DLR in May and June" -
www.disboards.com/showthread.php?t=2298400
10. On every day except for maybe June 21 plan to park hop ("Why I ParkHop at DLR" by Hound 109
www.disboards.com/showthread.php?t=1491961)
11. If you stay close by - and IMO you should - take a long afternoon break on June 22 and 23 - see "Getting The Most Out of a Summer Visit To DLR"
www.disboards.com/showthread.php?t=1345319
12. On June 21 there is no need for a break because you will arrive late anyways. And on June 24 you should probably still take a break but make it much shorter because of DL's early closing. I would make it 2 hours (3 max) instead of 4-5.
Have a magical trip.