hertamaniac
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Feb 9, 2017
They’ve already figured out how to turn the screws on out of state passholders - the three days of park pass reservations essentially pushes out of state passholders into resort hotel rooms. So they are really in a winning scenario by continuing to allow out of state APs who already pay the highest prices for the two top tier passes on offer, plus now to ensure park reservations for each day of a weeklong stay, you need to be staying onsite.
The AP cancellation thread is full of complaints from out of state passholders who (justifiably, IMO) are upset that their usual vacation plan of staying offsite and using APs as entry media has been disrupted. Disney’s cancellation options give those folks who were likely to stay offsite and use the AP a middling number of times without producing the onsite revenue an option to remove themselves from the AP pool. I don’t think it’s that they aren’t going to offer out of state APs - more that they will offer them on such terms that some who’ve enjoyed them in the past will self-select out of the AP pool.
Self-selecting out of an AP driven by the current non-Florida resident pricing may achieve the same end goal with the current reservation restrictions without having to increase the price. It goes back to my statement of non-Florida AP's generating more revenue due to ancillary expenditures beyond the AP (e.g. resort stays). They appear to drive those out of state AP's to stay onsite if you want to maximize your number of days using the AP, effectively.
I feel confident there is a set of algorithms they use plotting and injecting all the AP variables into an engine to track that maximized revenue model. In fact, I suspect it is updated daily.