No, actually the standard swab & wait days for results tests, can have about a very significant false negative rate, particularly if administered early on.
I will stand by the statement the normal, non Point of Care Covid-19 PCR, is pretty accurate. Much more so than anything else. No test is 100% in specificity and sensitivity.
You have it dead on. ANY test performed is only valid as to the date and time of of collection. Any perceived status of Covid 19 infection status at any time post 1 minute of collection are pure conjecture unless the tested subject is placed into strict quarantine immediately after collection. This makes the 72 hr rule a pure crap shoot as to perceived protection. You can get infected walking out the door from being tested that invalidates the whole process. We are seeing a < 2% positivity rate that makes all of this statistically nutso. You subject 100 people for Reliable testing and 2% may be positive. You test 100 people to rapid testing and up to 20% may test negative but really be positive. The other problem is getting a reliable PCR result back to the patient in 72 hrs is cutting it a bit fine if you are not talking about an emergent scenario (Vacation Travel does not count). I am still not sure how this all falls under HIPAA. What’s next you have to declare your HIV, Hepatitis, TB etc status before travel?
Why would that be, do you think? If there is a recognized low capacity for hospital care, why wouldn’t they want to improve that? Especially when so many of their statements have been that their overall strict response has been mostly to protect their elderly? What am I missing? Because I definitely don’t understand many parts of their response. (And I’m with you, hopefully they’ve been stocking up.)
Tell that to the 117,000 lives cut short by Covid that most likely died alone away from family. Hawaii had the opportunity to make it safe for their population and have done so. To date, that's been good enough for them and reopening stages is progressing fast enough for their populace.
| Confirmed 706 | Recovered 627 | Deaths 17 |
As are we. We're not shying away from going day 1. We're ready for July 17th reopening of DLR too and waiting for the reservations to drop, and have DVC reservations for VGC right before Labor day with our APs.
Like many instances these days - a few folk are making decisions for large populations both at the Federal and State levels. So -- our President with his cabinet and Governors are the primary actors.
Unfortunately the only way to keep it out forever is to institute a permanent incoming quarantine, like they do for animals (120 days). They’ve totally eradicated rabies. But I think a permanent 14-day quarantine will also nearly totally eradicate tourism as well. Sorry for everybody affected—the jobs, the cancelled trips, the stress. I’m just selfishly hoping it’s back to “normal” by 2022 for our multi-celebration trip.
