DIS Shareholders and Stock Info ONLY

https://www.wsj.com/articles/netfli...rger-business-model-entertainment-11662496991

Netflix’s Business Model Doesn’t Work
Pure-play streaming is great for viewers but it doesn’t pay.
By Holman W. Jenkins, Jr.
Sept. 6, 2022 6:27 pm ET

In the streaming wars, nobody wants to be Netflix anymore and that includes Netflix.

The question that once bemused this column about whether pure-play, general-interest subscription streaming can work as a standalone business model hasn’t been bemusing in a while. Netflix is scurrying at warp speed to develop an ad-supported service.
 
There needs to be an unmoderated “no holds barred” Thunderdome style category/forum where people can moan and groan without normal threads getting locked.
I’m on a board on Reddit that has a Friday thread that’s a rage thread. U can only respond in capped and there are no rules. It’s so funny. It’s just for complaining. And let me tell you besides the Language u will never see a thread that stays on track so well. People wait for it for Friday. If someone doesn’t use capped you always get the “I can’t hear you?” It’s pretty funny.
 
I didn't remember that DIS was interested in buying Twitter.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-disney-found-substantial-portion-010204328.html

UPDATE 1-Disney found 'substantial portion' of Twitter users fake in 2016 -former CEO
Dawn Chmielewski and Sheila Dang
Wed, September 7, 2022 at 8:02 PM·2 min read

By Dawn Chmielewski and Sheila Dang

Sept 7 (Reuters) - Former Disney CEO Bob Iger said on Wednesday the entertainment giant had determined that a "substantial portion" of Twitter's users were "not real" in 2016, when Disney was weighing a purchase of the social network.

Iger said the Walt Disney Co and Twitter Inc boards were prepared to enter negotiations when he got cold feet. He said that, with Twitter's help, Disney had learned that "a substantial portion - not a majority -" of users were fake.
"I remember discounting the value" as a result, Iger said, in remarks at the Code Conference in Beverly Hills, California.

Iger did not specify what he meant by "substantial." Twitter has consistently reported that fewer than 5% of its "monetizable" daily users are bot or spam accounts.

Iger's comments come amid a legal battle between billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk and Twitter over Musk's deal to buy the social media company for $44 billion. Musk, who is trying to walk away from the deal, has claimed that Twitter has misrepresented the prevalence of spam or bot accounts on the platform.

Iger did not mention Musk by name in his remarks on Wednesday, but he did say: “Interestingly enough, because I read the news these days, we did look very carefully at all of the Twitter users," before going on to say that "a substantial portion" of Twitter users "were not real."

In his memoir, "The Ride of a Lifetime," Iger wrote that he had second thoughts about a deal with Twitter because of the "nastiness" of the discourse on Twitter that he feared would become a distraction.

Twitter has sued Musk to hold him to the deal, and the trial is to begin on Oct. 17.

Twitter did not immediately respond to a request for comment on Wednesday.
 
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/07/mov...re-pandemic-levels-says-disneys-bob-iger.html

Moviegoing won’t return to pre-pandemic levels, says former Disney CEO Bob Iger​

Published Wed, Sep 7 20228:07 PM EDT
Sarah Whitten@sarahwhit10

Key Points
  • The pandemic fundamentally changed how audiences consume media, leading to smaller foot traffic at movie theaters, says former Disney CEO Bob Iger.
  • “I don’t think movies ever return, in terms of moviegoing, to the level that they were at pre-pandemic,” the veteran media executive said during a panel at Vox Media’s Code Conference in Beverly Hills, California, Wednesday.
  • He noted that consumers became more comfortable with streaming services while in lockdown and grew to enjoy the content on these platforms and the flexibility of being able to choose what to watch and when.
 
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/07/mov...re-pandemic-levels-says-disneys-bob-iger.html

Moviegoing won’t return to pre-pandemic levels, says former Disney CEO Bob Iger​

Published Wed, Sep 7 20228:07 PM EDT
Sarah Whitten@sarahwhit10

Key Points
  • The pandemic fundamentally changed how audiences consume media, leading to smaller foot traffic at movie theaters, says former Disney CEO Bob Iger.
  • “I don’t think movies ever return, in terms of moviegoing, to the level that they were at pre-pandemic,” the veteran media executive said during a panel at Vox Media’s Code Conference in Beverly Hills, California, Wednesday.
  • He noted that consumers became more comfortable with streaming services while in lockdown and grew to enjoy the content on these platforms and the flexibility of being able to choose what to watch and when.
Theater's were already struggling pre-pandemic. I mean the writing is on the wall if you are converting your theater's into giant living rooms with couches and recliners. There will always be a market but the appeal of not leaving your couch and home setup is greater than ever.
 
Theater's were already struggling pre-pandemic. I mean the writing is on the wall if you are converting your theater's into giant living rooms with couches and recliners. There will always be a market but the appeal of not leaving your couch and home setup is greater than ever.

Yeah, one thing that was pushing theaters to the brink was that people were only going for the blockbusters. If you were Marvel or Star Wars or Jurassic, people were going. The problem was that not EVERY movie can be a billion dollar box-office juggernaut, and trying to put one out every month (or sometimes several per month), led to audiences choosing which to see and the others not making back their budget. It became an arms race, squeezing out smaller but reliable movies, leaving theaters holding th ebg on weekends that should have been big, but just weren't.
 
It will be interesting to see how DIS' strategy of re-releasing Avatar to the big screen in 4K works out.
 
Yeah, one thing that was pushing theaters to the brink was that people were only going for the blockbusters. If you were Marvel or Star Wars or Jurassic, people were going. The problem was that not EVERY movie can be a billion dollar box-office juggernaut, and trying to put one out every month (or sometimes several per month), led to audiences choosing which to see and the others not making back their budget. It became an arms race, squeezing out smaller but reliable movies, leaving theaters holding th ebg on weekends that should have been big, but just weren't.
With less box office and shrinking DVD/Blueray sales/rentals, the once cash cow of cashing in 2-3 times on the same movie is gone. They used to make a ton of money charging Blockbuster for rental units. Streaming is a money losing venture so where does Hollywood go to sustain revenues? Only options are make less movies (and take less risks - already being seen) or charge more money (to the theaters or via streaming). It is an interesting space.

All I see are skyrocketing streaming prices and/or we get classic TV style streaming with 10mins of ads for a '30min' comedy and only showing the show at 8pm EST on a Thursday? Forcing scarcity and going backwards to people looking a TV guides ;)
 
With less box office and shrinking DVD/Blueray sales/rentals, the once cash cow of cashing in 2-3 times on the same movie is gone. They used to make a ton of money charging Blockbuster for rental units. Streaming is a money losing venture so where does Hollywood go to sustain revenues? Only options are make less movies (and take less risks - already being seen) or charge more money (to the theaters or via streaming). It is an interesting space.

All I see are skyrocketing streaming prices and/or we get classic TV style streaming with 10mins of ads for a '30min' comedy and only showing the show at 8pm EST on a Thursday? Forcing scarcity and going backwards to people looking a TV guides ;)

They could also pay actors what they are worth. Cost controls would be huge, but then industry across the board is just greedy.
 
https://qudach.com/summer-movie-sea...lockbusters-to-count-on-this-fall-999807.html

Summer Movie Season Fizzles Out, With Few Blockbusters to Count On This Fall

wsj_sm_logo.gif

9/9/2022

This summer’s movie play started with a bang, but ended with a whimper, moving retired of deed movies good earlier its accepted Labor Day conclusion.

Hollywood movies earned $3.43 cardinal astatine theaters successful North America this summer, defined arsenic the play betwixt the archetypal Friday successful May and Labor Day Monday, according to container bureau tracker Comscore.

That haul was 21% little than the summertime play successful 2019, the past twelvemonth untainted by the coronavirus pandemic and 19% little than the mean summertime gross betwixt 2005 and 2019. It was the lowest haul since 2001, erstwhile summertime movies earned $3.34 cardinal astatine home theaters. The summertime play typically accounts for astir 40% of yearly container bureau receipts, Comscore says.

The reason, Comscore said, is determination simply weren’t capable movies. The movie manufacture is inactive suffering from a hangover caused by the pandemic, which delayed hundreds of productions and forced distributors to reshuffle their merchandise schedules, accidental movie studios, theatre owners and analysts. Studios lone gave wide release—defined by Comscore arsenic those that amusement connected astatine slightest 2,000 screens—to 22 movies this summer, compared with 42 successful the summertime of 2019.
 
Stumbled across this annoyance, while searching for the full Iger Code interview, and had to share.

Today's media in a nutshell...

One headline says:

Why Disney didn’t buy Twitter​

Bots were fine. Nastiness wasn’t.

https://www.vox.com/recode/2022/9/7/23339402/bob-iger-disney-streaming-code

The other says:

Fortune
Bob Iger says Disney abandoned Twitter acquisition in 2016 after
discovering ‘substantial’ amount of bots

Completely opposite interpretations of the same statement!
I agree with what he says about the "nastiness," and that DIS is in the business of "manufacturing fun." He kinda makes my argument that DIS should get shed of ABC and ESPN, Both of them have their share of "nastiness," imo.
 
https://www.ft.com/content/78adc493...traffic/partner/feed_headline/us_yahoo/auddev

Disney boss rejects Dan Loeb’s calls to spin off ESPN​

Bob Chapek vows to restore sports network to growth as media company previews coming attractions at D23 expo
Christopher Grimes in Los Angeles September 10 2022B

Bob Chapek, Walt Disney chief executive, has rejected calls by activist investor Dan Loeb to sell or spin off the ESPN sports television network, vowing to restore the business to its onetime status as a growth engine of the company. Loeb, whose Third Point hedge fund revealed in August that it had bought a $1bn stake in the company, called for ESPN to be spun off to reduce Disney’s debtload — just one element of a sweeping plan to shake up the media company.

In an interview with the FT, Chapek said Disney had been “deluged” with interest from companies seeking to buy ESPN earlier this year amid rumours that the company was weighing a sale of the cable network. “If everyone wants to come in and buy it . . . I think that says something about its potential,” Chapek said. “I think its potential is within the Disney company.” ESPN broadcasts live sports in the US, including games of the National Football League, National Basketball Association and Major League Baseball. “We have a plan for it that will restore ESPN to its growth trajectory,” Chapek said.

“When the rest of the world knows what our plans are they will be as confident about that proposition as we are.”

Chapek said he has “regular conversations” with Loeb, who also took a stake in Disney in 2020 that he sold early this year. He characterised the conversations as “very collaborative, non-antagonistic and collegial”, including around Loeb’s recommendations to change the composition of the Disney board. He defended the board, saying that the average tenure is four years and has a broad “range of skillsets”.

But he added: “We’re so consistent with Dan’s thinking that everything he’s talked about are either things we have considered in the past or are considering for the future.” Loeb has also called on Disney to purchase Comcast’s 33 per cent stake in the Hulu streaming service earlier than January 2024, when Disney has the option to purchase the remaining stake. Some analysts on Wall Street are also calling for Disney to settle the Hulu ownership soon.

Chapek said he would “love” to settle the matter sooner but that Comcast has seemed reluctant. “We have talked to them numerous times over the past year-plus,” he said. “If that were in the cards we would love to do that, but it takes two to tango.” He noted that market sentiment has changed significantly since the agreement was struck, when investors were more bullish on streaming.

Chapek spoke on the sidelines of the annual D23 conference in Anaheim, California, where the company revealed its streaming and theatrical slate to thousands of Disney fans. Disney showed off trailers of two highly anticipated films coming this autumn, the Black Panther sequel Wakanda Forever and Avatar: The Way of Water. It also previewed a run of original series on Disney Plus, including the Star Wars prequel Andor and the Marvel series Secret Invasion. Chapek said the new slate represented the end of a Covid-induced production bottleneck.

“This is our new steady state (of production),” he said, saying that both the pace of production and the size of its content budget — currently about $30bn — would remain level. Disney has continued to add new customers to its streaming services this year, and by some measures its overall streaming operations have surpassed Netflix in subscribers. But Netflix’s revelation that it has lost more than 1mn subscribers this year has cast a pall over the entire streaming business, with investors growing concerned over high content spending and clamouring for a clear path to profitability.

Recommended Media ‘Perfect storm’ wipes nearly $400bn off value of large US media groups this year Disney’s theme park business is also recovering strongly despite the closure of parks in China, analysts said. But shares are down 26.5 per cent this year, compared to a decline of 15.2 per cent for the S&P 500. Chapek said Disney has “commercial momentum that is enviable” both in its content and theme parks businesses, but was suffering from investor “malaise” around streaming due to Netflix’s problems. “For a long time we benefited from being just like Netflix because we were a streaming company,” he said. “It’s not unexpected that we would get painted with the same brush [but] we’re not the same company.”
 
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/business/business-news/disney-bob-chapek-d23-interview-1235216556/


Disney’s Bob Chapek on Scar-Jo Aftermath and “Don’t Say Gay” Impact​


The CEO also weighs in on whether it’s possible to build a lasting franchise on streaming (yes) and navigating fickle Wall Street demands: “We knew that the frothiness of the streaming business in the eyes of investors would moderate at some point.”

September 10, 2022 4:45pm

In the midst of Disney’s D23 presentation of upcoming material from Lucasfilm and Marvel, as well as Avatar, Disney CEO Bob Chapek made himself available for a 15-minute interview with The Hollywood Reporter. The conversation touched on issues ranging from the handling of the Scarlett Johansson conflict and the “Don’t Say Gay” controversy in Florida as well as ticket pricing and more.

This presentation was a lot of Disney+. It seems like all that stuff had its origins on the big screen — all the Marvel universe — everything launches [from movies] and you have the theme parks, you have the cruise ships, you have so much at stake in launching franchises. With a lot of investors re-evaluating “all in on streaming,” are you as well?

It's important to go back to when Disney+ was launched and what the hypothesis was about how much food you had to give that system for it to truly maximize its potential, and I would say we dramatically underestimated the hungry beast and how much content it needed to be fed. As we were realizing that, COVID hit and we were completely constrained in terms of making new things. So we had very precious few things that were trickling into our system, and we had to make the very difficult decision where to put those things. When the theatrical world was shut down because of COVID, it was kind of an easy decision. You either postpone it for a couple years — and we started postponing, as you remember — but we also had this sort of empty pipeline into this very important strategic initiative for the company, which was Disney+. Our viewers, our subscribers were asking for more so we started diverting content that was originally intended for theaters before Disney+ was even envisioned. But at that very same time, we started a very methodical plan to try to determine how much content we as a company would need to fully take advantage of the opportunities in theatrical, because we love the theatrical business, and how much we would need to be able to feed the content pipes that were leading into Disney+ so that we can embrace that opportunity … Now that production is back fully and we have a full understanding of what’s needed, right about now — this fall — we’re in a position to fully program theatrical exhibition, without having to steal content from one place or another, as well as our streaming services.

Do you think you can launch a franchise — that thing that turns into a theme-park attraction — on a streamer? Is there a film that has ever been made or a series that leads you to create an Avatar attraction? Where is the proof of that?

Absolutely. We fully believe that. We’ve had titles in the past that, frankly, we put out in theatrical exhibition world [like] Encanto. It was a modest success theatrically and then we put it into Disney+ and it shot up to No. 1. I don’t have to tell you the phenomenon it became from a merchandise standpoint and from a music standpoint and how many more people saw it on Disney+.

Do you think the theatrical component was essential or could you have done it without?

I think there are films where theatrical distribution is essential. I think [with] big blockbusters, there are titles that would be well-advised to be launched theatrically and then go onto Disney+, but I don’t think that is necessary for a franchise to be born. We have flexibility. This is a word I’ve used now since the beginning of the pandemic, when I first got this job …. There’s a lot of folks in the business, in the industry, that want the world to go back to what it was and it’s not, ‘cause the consumer has moved on. Ultimately everybody who’s in this business caters to one entity, and that’s the consumer. The business moved on. That doesn’t mean we’re not going to take great Marvel and Star Wars movies, and Avatar, and put them first in theatrical. We will because it’s a wonderful way to experience those films. But that does not mean that everything, for it to be credible or for it to eventually turn into a Disney franchise, has to go through that.

You come in and Wall Street was saying, “Go all in on streaming.” Then Netflix hits this big bump and they pivot. How do you process this Wall Street short-term, fickle thinking?

When we went to the 2020 investor conference, we gave guidance on two factors: One was [subscribers], which is where all the focus was at that time. But even when profitability was not a focus whatsoever by Wall Street on streaming, we gave a profitability guide on that same day. We knew that the frothiness of the streaming business in the eyes of investors would moderate at some point, we didn’t know when. And profitability would become as important if not more important ultimately than revenue and sub adds. For us, it’s not been as big as an internal shift as it might be for others because we’ve had foot both on the clutch and on the gas at the same time so for us, no big deal. We’re operating like we would, we’re not reducing the amount of content that we’re planning on putting into the system, or spending. We’ve said in our investor calls that the amount of content that we’re putting into the market will be essentially flat.

You’re known as a guy who cuts costs and raises prices. You’ve raised the prices pretty stiffly [for some streaming plans] and the parks. And you’ve gotten some blowback from superfans. How much can you keep raising prices and does ill will from them create a problem for the brand?

We love all our fans equally. We love the superfans, obviously. But we also like the fans that don’t have the same expression of their fandom. We want to make sure that our superfans who love to come with annual passes and use [the parks] as their personal playground — we love that. We celebrate that. But at the same time, we’ve got to make sure that there’s room in the park for the family from Denver that comes once every five years. We didn’t have a reservation system and we didn’t control the number of annual passes we distributed and frankly, the annual pass as a value was so great that people were literally coming all the time and the accessibility of the park was unlimited to them and that family from Denver would get to the park and not be let in. That doesn’t seem like a real balanced proposition. I guess it’s possible that the superfans look at that as a disadvantaging of the way they consume the park, but we’ve got to make sure that not only are we heeding the needs of our superfans, but we’re heeding the needs of everyone who travels from across the country one time every five years. We have a real high-class problem: We have much more demand than there is supply. What we will not bend on is giving somebody a less than stellar experience in the parks because we jammed too many people in there. If we’re going to have that foundational rule, you have to start balancing who you let in. … Our ticket prices and constraints we put on how often people can come and when they come is a direct reflection of demand. When is it too much? Demand will tell us when it’s too much.

You had some bumps in the beginning. If you had the Scarlett Johansson situation all over again, would you do it differently?

There were a lot of people that got a vote in how we handled that. And I was one voice, and I’ll just say that our relationship with her agency and her has never been better.

You apologized to the staff on “Don’t Say Gay.” That issue caused you a lot of problems no matter what you did. Do you feel that you have won back the staff’s trust?

These are complex social issues where we absolutely, positively want to represent the needs and the expectations of our cast members, but we also realize that sometimes in such a divided world, there’s not alignment between what possibly large constituencies of our guest and consumer base are looking for in terms of the kind of content that they want to show their kids at this particular time. What we try to do is be everything to everybody. That tends to be very difficult because we’re the Walt Disney Company. When you’re a lightning rod for clicks and for political podium speeches, the essence of our brand can be misappropriated or misused to try to fit the needs of any one particular group’s agenda. We want to rise above that. We believe Disney is a place where people can come together with shared values of what an optimistic and ideal future can be. We certainly don’t want to get caught up in any political subterfuge, but at the same time we also realize that we want to represent a brighter tomorrow for families of all types, regardless of how they define themselves.

And the staff? Do they feel that from you?

We are a very cohesive, big, happy family. I think our staff saw how I stood firm during the ultimate barrage of attacks from certain political constituencies and, frankly, I think it was much stronger and much longer and much harder than they ever could have imagined and we stood our ground. So I think it’s safe to say that actions speak louder than words, and they saw resiliency and consistency no matter how strong the attacks.
 
https://deadline.com/2022/09/disney...100th-anniversary-plans-espn-hulu-1235114628/

Bob Chapek Details Disney’s Next Big Move, The 100th Anniversary, ESPN & Hulu’s Futures, & Bringing “Everything Together”​


https://variety.com/2022/film/news/bob-chapek-disney-espn-marvel-hulu-d23-expo-1235368145/

Bob Chapek Talks Disney+, ESPN and Hulu Future and Hints at ‘Hard Bundle’ Integration to Come​


'The Disney of the next 100 years will be more expansive than the Disney of the first 100 years,' CEO vows
 
https://www.wsj.com/articles/activi...ney-to-sell-espn-11662924340?mod=hp_lead_pos4

Activist Investor Dan Loeb Backs Off Pushing Disney to Sell ESPN
Investor said he wants to see Disney move forward with ESPN’s ‘growth and innovation’
By Robbie Whelan
Sept. 11, 2022 3:25 pm ET

Activist investor Dan Loeb signaled Sunday morning on Twitter that he is backing off his push to persuade Walt Disney Co. DIS 2.54%▲ to spin off its popular sports television network ESPN.

The change of heart comes after Disney’s Chief Executive Bob Chapek said in media interviews at this weekend’s D23 Expo event—an annual gathering of Disney fans where the company announces new shows and films—that he has plans for ESPN to be a big growth engine and a large part of the company’s entertainment offerings.

“As Bob has said, ESPN is an integral part of The Walt Disney Company, and he believes that its full potential will continue to be realized as we execute against our strategic vision for the most trusted brand in sports,” said Disney spokeswoman Kristina Schake on Sunday.

Last month, Mr. Loeb’s hedge fund Third Point LLC announced that it had renewed its stake in Disney stock after having liquidated one earlier this year. He sent a letter to Mr. Chapek asking for major changes to Disney’s business, including spinning off ESPN, refreshing Disney’s board and cutting spending.

“We have a better understanding of ESPN’s potential as a stand-alone business and another vertical for [Disney] to reach a global audience to generate ad and subscriber revenues,” Mr. Loeb wrote on Twitter Sunday morning. “We look forward to seeing [ESPN chief James] Pitaro execute on the growth and innovation plans, generating considerable synergies as part of The Walt Disney company.”

Mr. Loeb declined to comment beyond his tweets, a spokeswoman said. Messrs. Loeb and Chapek “have regular conversations” and are currently in close contact, people familiar with the matter said.

The new stake for Mr. Loeb’s fund represented less than 1% of Disney’s shares outstanding and at the time had an economic value of around $1 billion, The Wall Street Journal has previously reported.

The idea of Disney selling ESPN has come up frequently in recent years as the price of sports broadcast rights has steadily risen. Photo: Gabby Jones/Bloomberg News
Disney shares are down 26.5% this year as of the close of trading Friday. In August, the company reported stronger-than-expected financial results and an addition of 14.4 million subscribers to its Disney+ streaming service.

Last month, Disney said in response to Mr. Loeb’s Third Point letter, “We welcome the views of all our investors.” The company said its board has been continuously refreshed, “with an average tenure of four years.”

The idea of selling ESPN—which sends a steady flow of cash to Disney via licensing agreements with cable TV operators—has come up frequently in recent years as the price of sports broadcast rights has steadily risen. Some investors have argued that ESPN is more valuable as a stand-alone company than as a division of Disney.

The network is home to some of the most-watched events on television and it attracts huge numbers of prime-time viewers, according to Nielsen. ESPN also brings in significant fees to Disney. On average, every American with a pay-TV package that features ESPN pays more than $100 a year for access to the network, according to Kagan, a media research group within S&P Global Market Intelligence.

For Disney, ESPN+, the streaming service attached to the sports network is growing. ESPN+ has 22.8 million subscribers, Disney reported last month, a 53% gain from a year earlier.
 

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