I think you'll hear a lot of different opinions on that topic--but generally, in 2007 (when we did our first ABD), I don't recall any cancellations, and am not aware of any in early 2008--but with the economic downturn mixed with an aggressive growth in the number of Adventures, Disney had to cancel a number of trips in late 2008, early 2009. (Both domestic and foreign--not sure if there were more of one over the other). They made their 2009-10 Adventures announcement in August, reflecting fewer trips in recognition of the ecomonic reality and ups/downs of the travel biz. As I recall they now have a firmer guarantee that the posted trips will be a "go"--see the frequently asked questions in the ABD website. Given all of this, and a belief that Disney is trying to work it out to avoid customer dissatisfaction, I doubt there is much of a likelihood of a trip cancellation. But, that is MHO!