We paid off our November cruise before Platinum date (coming up this week) so I can stay up to midnight to schedule Palo brunch. So, yeah - I'm with you on the positive / hopeful camp. I also don't think it's going to happen. And I hope they will offer the same itinerary again next year - and I would book it if this one doesn't go.
Each month that goes by, I think it will take as long to recover as things have been shut down. I have nothing scientific or mathematical to back this; it's just my gut feeling.
The vast majority of our generation (anyone born after WW2) have lived such a wonderful life in comparison to those who went through the 2+ years of the 1918 influenza, the Depression and WW2 - and all the restrictions placed on them. I hope the best for us. And that one day we will be cruising again, realizing what a wonderful life we have.