You are far better at reading that than I was. How does the corral mess with your theorized spreadsheets?
It'll depend on the corral breakdown from a bib# standpoint. Since the HM/M went from 16 corrals (A to P) to 8 corrals (A to H), I anticipate that they just combined them in sets of two. So, corral A had 500 in the 2017 WDW weekend. Now corral A 2018 will simply be A and B 2017 combined (500+500). I then evaluated the 2017 corrals based on the bib# makeup, the timing, and thus the rate of bibs per minute at different times during the start:
I'll use this information to come up with a time estimate on each corral release. The assumption will be the start time and end time of the corral release will remain the same (assuming the same # of bibs as well). I'll then request whether a person intends on lining up at the Front, Middle, or Back of the corral. I'll break down each corral into mini-waves of 1/4, and then use that to come up with the estimated start time. It should end up being within +/- 5 min if my assumptions end up being correct.
As for Dopey bib = 5k/10k corral assignment. I was attempting to decipher the 5k/10k breakdown to help determine corral assignment. My guess is the Dopey assignment is dependent on the # of 5k/10k solo bibs running at certain paces. But it seems the breakdown would be roughly:
Or someone who has a POT for Dopey that equals a 5k pace of 9:00 or less is likely to end up in corral A. Someone with a Dopey POT (or estimate) that equates to a 5k pace of 11-12 would be likely around corral D. Not a guarantee, but an educated guess when it comes to making timing estimations.
Also, didn't see if anyone else posted it, but it looks like bib pickup at the expo has been broken up even more:
HP Field House = Goofy and Dopey bib and shirt pickup
Champion Stadium = 5k, 10k, and Kids bib and shirt pickup
Visa Athletic Center = HM and M bib and shirt pickup
Looks like they have two runners relations as well:
HP Field House = 5k, 10k, Kids, Dopey, and Goofy
Visa Athletic Center = HM and M
runDisney merchandise is located in the HP Field House. It is not specifically mentioned in the Visa Athletic Center.