Mackenzie Click-Mickelson
Chugging along the path of life
- Joined
- Oct 23, 2015
I explained in my comments various reasons why not every area is the same even within one's own state. I feel like I did that well enough to answer your "why isn't my state seeing a significant drop in cases a month after?" or at least give some possible reasons. Should that be taken as the be it all answer? No, but I gave some reasons, you can decide for yourself given your particular area if any of those may be applicable.Since you're giving the information for just your area (which is what I presented above... the information for MY area), is the mask mandate the ONLY difference between the counties on the chart? Did the "mask" counties also close bars? Restrict restaurants? Limit gatherings? If mask mandates were the single answer, why isn't my state seeing a significant drop in cases a month after? And before you answer "how many people are following the mandate", I'm guessing you don't know how many are following it in the various KS counties either. We both have anecdotal information (we see most people/few people wearing masks), but that's not facts.
The fact that your area hasn't seen an appreciable decrease since the mask mandate does not in fact mean the masks aren't working to a degree. For my state I don't really want to think about how bad it could have gotten if another layer (the masks) hadn't been added given the trend we were seeing. It just exploded in cases.
But TBH I'm a bit confused by your comments. It's almost like you're arguing masks don't help much so whatevs. I don't really have much to contribute there. My original intent was to provide background information to what the PP had posted when they posted the link regarding the news article.
Again I said: "Albeit though he may be incredibly bias and NOT a person I would actually take a credible for questioning the graph I can understand reviewing the graph for accuracy and see no issue with that." It's fair game to question the graph but no I wouldn't use that 'doctor' as for an alternate view of the graph, to do that it would preferably be a programmer who is non-biased, definitely not in politics and is only reviewing for accuracy not because they have a personal issue with a person (and boy do they holy cow the comments he is making-geez this guy has zero credibility to me). So if a programmer steps up to review it I'm all for thatOK, but is his DATA wrong? I tried to look on the chart you posted as well as finding the same chart online and it sure looks like the Y axis are different. It looks like the right hand axis (no mask) reads (from the top down) 14, 12, 10, 8, 6, 4 and the left hand (mask mandates) are 25, 23, 21, 19, 17, 15. So doesn't that mean (at least) the counties with mask mandates have a larger per capita (because that's how the graph is labeled - average of daily cases/100k population). Yes, there is a greater drop in the mask mandated counties, but is that because of masks or other steps?
Here's a slightly better view (you can at least read the axis labels) (source):
View attachment 516708
I'm going to get crucified for this, but I do wonder if something similar to herd immunity (because I don't know what else to call it) is/has happened in hot spots. Once an area gets to a certain number of infections, then numbers start dying down. And no, I'm not saying open everything up. Heck, I think mask mandates should stay in place, anything indoor should be at 30-50% capacity, and anything outdoor should leave things spread out.